ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$43.64
-2.10 (-4.59%)
▼
5d:
-8.55%
30d:
+2.32%
90d:
+26.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ESI trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.64
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $43.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.44 to $46.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.44 -
$46.36
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ESI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 41.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.44 -
$46.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.14
Resistance Level
$43.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.25
Wall Street Target
$48.00
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 18.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.04
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$48.57
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$51.24
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$69.88
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$68.18
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 16.0%)
$57.95
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.67
Bull Case
$52.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$43.64
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$33.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Stanley Oneal
SELL
143564 shares
2026-02-20
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