ESI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESI - Element Solutions Inc.
$43.56
-0.67 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+16.07%
90d:
+35.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ESI is up 4.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $32 2026-05-15 with 4,028 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESI trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ESI trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.68
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESI is currently trading at $43.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.06 to $43.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.76, while resistance sits at $45.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.76, while resistance sits at $45.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.06 -
$43.28
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ESI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 41.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.06 -
$43.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.76
Resistance Level
$45.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.21
Wall Street Target
$47.30
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 17.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.70
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$50.06
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$53.66
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.0%)
$70.72
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$68.05
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$55.19
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.74
Bull Case
$52.60
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$43.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$33.32
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Stanley Oneal
SELL
143564 shares
2026-02-20
Matthew Liebowitz
SELL
37000 shares
2025-12-12
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