ETD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETD - Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
$18.84
-0.14 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
-7.6%
30d:
-14.91%
90d:
-21.01%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ETD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ETD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.99
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETD is currently trading at $18.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.04 to $22.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+27.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+27.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.04 -
$22.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($24.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -4.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.04 -
$22.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.28
Resistance Level
$20.88
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.99
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.8%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.07
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$19.18
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$33.02
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$19.44
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$16.52
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$19.13
(+2%)
Analyst growth -8.2%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$17.39
(-8%)
Market implied -8.2%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$12.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
2168 shares
2026-01-22
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
102 shares
2026-01-22
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