FA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FA - First Advantage Corporation Common Stock
$14.87
0.10 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
-6.83%
30d:
+23.1%
90d:
+56.69%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.74
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FA is currently trading at $14.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.40 to $14.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.40, while resistance sits at $16.31.
Market Sentiment: FA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.14 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.40, while resistance sits at $16.31.
Market Sentiment: FA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.14 (+22.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.40 -
$14.40
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($18.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 8.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.40 -
$14.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.40
Resistance Level
$16.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.38
Wall Street Target
$18.14
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.4%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.20
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$15.37
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.95
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$50.60
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 17.0%)
$23.79
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$20.23
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.30 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.12
Bull Case
$17.96
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$14.87
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$11.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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