FIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FIG - Figma, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$20.56
1.27 (6.58%) ▲
5d: +16.16%
30d: +2.03%
90d: -7.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026 5d
Smart Money Accumulation

FIG is down 12.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 15,434 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FIG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -14.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.43
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FIG is currently trading at $20.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.92 to $20.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 71.8) compared to its historical average (116.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FIG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $21.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: FIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.25 (+95.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $17.92 - $20.57
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 95.8% below Wall St target ($40.25)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.92 - $20.57
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.60
Resistance Level $21.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 71.76
Wall Street Target $40.25 (+95.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -51.2%
Profit Margin -118.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 71.8 vs 116.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.50 (-10%)
2-Year Target $16.65 (-19%)
3-Year Target $14.99 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 72→116) $24.25 (+18%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 71.8, Growth: 23.2%) $38.42 (+87%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 23.2%) $11.75 (-43%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 23.2%) $9.98 (-51%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 71.8 to 116.1
Stabilization Target: $33.26 (+61.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +61.8%
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Last updated: May 08, 2026 7:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brendan Mulligan SELL 4817 shares 2026-03-16
Brendan Mulligan SELL 4817 shares 2026-03-03
Kris Rasmussen SELL 179331 shares 2026-03-03

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