FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$35.25
0.85 (2.47%)
▲
5d:
+2.03%
30d:
+2.74%
90d:
-3.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FIZZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FIZZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.12
14.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $35.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.81 to $35.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.81 -
$35.00
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.81 -
$35.00
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.99
Resistance Level
$35.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.10
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$34.74
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$34.92
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 46.9%)
$45.04
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 46.9%)
$34.89
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 46.9%)
$29.65
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case
$38.76
(+13%)
Analyst growth 0.6%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$35.23
(+2%)
Market implied 0.6%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$23.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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