FOSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOSL - Fossil Group, Inc.
$4.65
0.12 (2.65%)
▲
5d:
+14.53%
30d:
+3.79%
90d:
+23.67%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FOSL is down 14.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-06-18 with 255 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FOSL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOSL is currently trading at $4.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.07 to $4.69.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOSL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOSL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOSL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$4.07 -
$4.69
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($5.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.07 -
$4.69
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.65
(14.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.86
Resistance Level
$4.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-23.25
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.7%
Profit Margin
-5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Suzanne M Coulter
BUY
28170 shares
2025-12-03
Randy J Greben
BUY
20980 shares
2025-11-24
Pamela J Edwards
BUY
10000 shares
2025-11-21
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