CROX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CROX - Crocs, Inc.
$125.28
1.11 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
+5.38%
30d:
+7.21%
90d:
+49.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CROX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CROX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.54
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $125.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.78 to $125.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.55, while resistance sits at $129.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.55, while resistance sits at $129.79.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$118.78 -
$125.63
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($126.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with -1.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.78 -
$125.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.47
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.55
Resistance Level
$129.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.63
Wall Street Target
$126.00
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 7.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.42
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$142.10
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$151.33
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$124.57
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$379.78
(+203%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$150.40
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$123.80
(-1%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CROX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anne Mehlman
SELL
12145 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced CROX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CROX price and gamma walls.