GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$23.01
-1.03 (-4.28%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNTX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.91
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $23.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.36 to $24.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.31, while resistance sits at $24.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.44 (+22.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.31, while resistance sits at $24.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.44 (+22.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$23.36 -
$24.21
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($29.44)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 7.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.36 -
$24.21
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.31
Resistance Level
$24.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.22
Wall Street Target
$29.44
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.9%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.18
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.33
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$24.48
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$58.03
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 9.8%)
$31.81
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$27.04
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.69
Bull Case
$30.17
(+31%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$27.43
(+19%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$16.03
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GNTX price and gamma walls.