BWA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BWA - BorgWarner Inc.
$52.73
-0.07 (-0.13%)
▼
5d:
-8.94%
30d:
+8.56%
90d:
+22.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
BWA is down 8.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-05-15 with 10,606 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BWA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BWA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.46
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BWA is currently trading at $52.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.42 to $60.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.85 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BWA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.85 (+30.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$49.42 -
$60.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BWA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($68.85)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$49.42 -
$60.84
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.87
Resistance Level
$60.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.02
Wall Street Target
$68.85
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.1%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.01
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$51.23
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$50.46
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$52.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 12.4%)
$187.70
(+256%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$74.94
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$63.70
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$127.40
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.8
Base Case
$115.82
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.2
Bear Case
$39.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$55.03
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BWA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Isabelle Mckenzie
SELL
3500 shares
2026-02-13
Tania Wingfield
SELL
17867 shares
2026-02-13
Tonit M Calaway
SELL
16000 shares
2026-02-13
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Advanced BWA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BWA price and gamma walls.
