MBLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.53
1.30 (14.08%)
▲
5d:
+16.1%
30d:
+38.19%
90d:
+9.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
MBLY is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 3,986 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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7 traders called MBLY this week
86% bullish • 1 bearish
86% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MBLY is 14.6% above its trading range ($9.19). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MBLY is 14.6% above its trading range ($9.19). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $10.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.55 to $9.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.43 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 14.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MBLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.43 (+27.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.55 -
$9.19
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Protect Your Profits
MBLY is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+14.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($13.43)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.55 -
$9.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.55
Resistance Level
$10.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.23
Wall Street Target
$13.43
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.7%
Profit Margin
-204.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 23.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.27
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$12.06
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$12.90
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 30.6%)
$23.48
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 30.6%)
$17.70
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 30.6%)
$15.05
(+43%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.
