MBLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBLY - Mobileye Global Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.57
-0.10 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
+21.76%
30d:
-11.31%
90d:
+29.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBLY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBLY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.54
9.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBLY is currently trading at $9.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.46 to $10.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.9) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.07, while resistance sits at $11.26.
Market Sentiment: MBLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.05 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBLY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.07, while resistance sits at $11.26.
Market Sentiment: MBLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.05 (+36.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.46 -
$10.32
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.3% below Wall St target ($13.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.46 -
$10.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.08
Resistance Level
$11.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.90
Wall Street Target
$13.05
(+36.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
99.7%
Profit Margin
-204.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
26.9 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.88
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$10.19
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$10.52
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.9, Growth: 28.0%)
$20.08
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.0%)
$16.26
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 28.0%)
$13.82
(+45%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBLY price and gamma walls.
