AZO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AZO - AutoZone, Inc.
$3742.02
25.02 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
+1.92%
90d:
-2.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
0d
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2 traders called AZO this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AZO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AZO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6198.64
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3848.87
2.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AZO is currently trading at $3742.02, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3666.93 to $3798.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3561.57, while resistance sits at $3882.47.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4205.75 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AZO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3561.57, while resistance sits at $3882.47.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4205.75 (+13.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$3666.93 -
$3798.74
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4205.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 8.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3666.93 -
$3798.74
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$159.46
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3561.57
Resistance Level
$3882.47
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.25
Wall Street Target
$4205.75
(+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 21.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3728.15
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$3739.34
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$3750.55
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$3705.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 18.3%)
$6542.24
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 18.3%)
$6154.92
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 18.3%)
$5231.68
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $143.47
Bull Case
$4901.91
(+31%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$4456.28
(+19%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$2488.80
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 06, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AZO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Richard Craig Smith
SELL
5910 shares
2026-01-23
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Advanced AZO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AZO price and gamma walls.
