APTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$58.89
-1.39 (-2.31%)
▼
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
-20.26%
90d:
-5.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APTV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APTV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.54
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $58.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.43 to $69.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.61 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.61 (+31.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.43 -
$69.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($77.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.43 -
$69.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.88
Resistance Level
$65.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.65
Wall Street Target
$77.61
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.4%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$58.30
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$58.01
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$59.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$204.44
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.3%)
$81.15
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.3%)
$68.97
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.68
Bull Case
$132.62
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case
$120.56
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case
$40.99
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$59.95
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Katherine H Ramundo
SELL
5000 shares
2026-01-08
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