APTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APTV - Aptiv PLC
$72.21
-1.18 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
-6.27%
30d:
-7.66%
90d:
-6.8%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
APTV is down 8.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $82.5 2026-05-15 with 225 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.91
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.42
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APTV is currently trading at $72.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.20 to $82.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.12, while resistance sits at $80.82.
Market Sentiment: APTV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.25 (+38.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APTV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.12, while resistance sits at $80.82.
Market Sentiment: APTV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.25 (+38.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$75.20 -
$82.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APTV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($101.25)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.3%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.20 -
$82.77
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.12
Resistance Level
$80.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.75
Wall Street Target
$101.25
(+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.4%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.79
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$66.37
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$63.12
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$73.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$308.47
(+320%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$105.80
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$89.93
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 9.75 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.55
Bull Case
$88.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$73.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$56.26
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$85.25
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Katherine H Ramundo
SELL
5000 shares
2026-01-08
Allan J Brazier
SELL
1000 shares
2025-09-18
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Advanced APTV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APTV price and gamma walls.
