GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$8.92
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-10.26%
30d:
-7.76%
90d:
-5.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GSBD is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GSBD is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.07
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $8.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.11 to $9.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $8.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $8.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.11 -
$9.89
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -18.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.11 -
$9.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.90
Resistance Level
$10.23
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.61
Wall Street Target
$9.13
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.95
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$8.97
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$9.00
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.87
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -2.7%)
$23.83
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -2.7%)
$8.23
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -2.7%)
$6.99
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$18.06
(+103%)
Analyst growth 83.1%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$16.42
(+84%)
Market implied 83.1%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$6.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carlos E Evans
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-02
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