HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$288.84
-8.31 (-2.80%)
▼
5d:
-1.26%
30d:
+1.47%
90d:
-13.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HEI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HEI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$237.42
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$147.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $288.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $270.44 to $294.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 45.3) compared to its historical average (50.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $267.25, while resistance sits at $301.10.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $354.40 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $267.25, while resistance sits at $301.10.
Market Sentiment: HEI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $354.40 (+22.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$270.44 -
$294.20
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($354.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$270.44 -
$294.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$267.25
Resistance Level
$301.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.33
Wall Street Target
$354.40
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
45.3 vs 50.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$278.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$267.86
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$257.95
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→51)
$288.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$413.19
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.7%)
$201.19
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$171.01
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 58.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.05
Bull Case
$412.47
(+43%)
Analyst growth 26.2%, PE expands to 64.7
Base Case
$374.97
(+30%)
Market implied 26.2%, PE stable at 58.8
Bear Case
$202.06
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 45.3 to 50.7
Stabilization Target:
$323.09
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Neitzel
SELL
676 shares
2026-04-15
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