HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$229.86
8.11 (3.66%)
▲
5d:
-0.6%
30d:
-2.28%
90d:
+0.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.52
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $229.86, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.92 to $233.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $219.33, while resistance sits at $252.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $219.33, while resistance sits at $252.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$217.92 -
$233.40
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($241.38)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$217.92 -
$233.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$219.33
Resistance Level
$252.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.39
Wall Street Target
$241.38
(+5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.9%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 19.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$246.87
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$265.14
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$284.76
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$230.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$344.05
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.4%)
$307.28
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$261.19
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.52
Bull Case
$183.64
(-20%)
Analyst growth -24.7%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$166.95
(-27%)
Market implied -24.7%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$150.79
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
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