PAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAM - PAMPA ENERGIA S.A.
$80.58
0.63 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
+0.81%
30d:
-6.01%
90d:
-7.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.5% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.5% annual earnings decline despite 40% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$197.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.71
34.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAM is currently trading at $80.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.17 to $86.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.23 (+44.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.23 (+44.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$81.17 -
$86.30
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.2% below Wall St target ($116.23)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.17 -
$86.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.40
Resistance Level
$89.29
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.72
Wall Street Target
$116.23
(+44.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.9%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 7.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.54
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$68.95
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$63.78
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$80.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.5%)
$666.77
(+728%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 29.5%)
$175.02
(+117%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 29.5%)
$148.77
(+85%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.25
Bull Case
$150.25
(+87%)
Analyst growth 70.8%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$136.59
(+70%)
Market implied 70.8%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$54.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$101.48
(+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1500000 shares
2026-04-22
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1250000 shares
2026-04-20
Marcos Marcelo Mindlin
SELL
1675000 shares
2026-04-16
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