IBKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IBKR - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$91.33
-1.92 (-2.06%)
▼
5d:
-0.9%
30d:
+2.94%
90d:
+34.49%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
11d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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1 traders called IBKR this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IBKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.82
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBKR is currently trading at $91.33, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.21 to $93.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.5) compared to its historical average (28.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.21 -
$93.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.21 -
$93.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.12
Resistance Level
$91.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.48
Wall Street Target
$89.82
(-1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.9%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
31.5 vs 28.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.98
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$98.78
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$102.73
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$137.48
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$95.13
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$80.86
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case
$127.73
(+40%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$116.12
(+27%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$63.41
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IBKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lori A Conkling
BUY
25 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBKR price and gamma walls.
