IMAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMAX - Imax Corp
$39.88
-0.52 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-8.03%
30d:
-1.53%
90d:
+3.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IMAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.63
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMAX is currently trading at $39.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.05 to $43.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 75.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMAX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.64 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMAX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.64 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.05 -
$43.56
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding IMAX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.64)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.05 -
$43.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.57
Resistance Level
$40.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.44
Wall Street Target
$47.64
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.0%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.76
(0%)
2-Year Target
$39.64
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$39.52
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$39.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$65.32
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$61.31
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$52.11
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.65
Bull Case
$48.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$39.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$30.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$40.19
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
34182 shares
2026-04-17
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SELL
41737 shares
2026-04-16
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15746 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced IMAX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IMAX price and gamma walls.
