IRDM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IRDM - Iridium Communications Inc.
$42.63
1.01 (2.43%)
▲
5d:
-1.21%
30d:
+1.86%
90d:
+81.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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4 traders called IRDM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IRDM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IRDM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.31
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IRDM is currently trading at $42.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.11 to $42.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.40, while resistance sits at $44.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IRDM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.40, while resistance sits at $44.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $35.86. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.11 -
$42.54
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.8% above Wall St target ($35.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.9% growth with 1.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.11 -
$42.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.40
Resistance Level
$44.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.21
Wall Street Target
$35.86
(-13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.9%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.9% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 20.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.99
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$53.05
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$59.89
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 15.9%)
$64.72
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.9%)
$48.90
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 15.9%)
$41.57
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$68.76
(+65%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 48.3
Base Case
$62.51
(+50%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 43.9
Bear Case
$29.53
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IRDM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Kapalka
SELL
2043 shares
2026-04-06
Timothy Kapalka
SELL
3790 shares
2026-04-02
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