KNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$69.27
0.21 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
+11.87%
30d:
+7.53%
90d:
+15.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.13
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $69.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.51 to $66.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.51 -
$66.26
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.59)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.51 -
$66.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.34
Resistance Level
$69.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.44
Wall Street Target
$70.59
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.3%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 21.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.92
(0%)
2-Year Target
$68.78
(0%)
3-Year Target
$68.65
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$69.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 74.8%)
$239.94
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 74.8%)
$233.08
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 74.8%)
$198.12
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 33.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.04
Bull Case
$83.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$69.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$52.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 21.6
Stabilization Target:
$69.58
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua Smith
SELL
5770 shares
2026-02-26
Kevin P Knight
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-20
James L Fitzsimmons
SELL
5917 shares
2026-02-04
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