LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$45.85
0.62 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-0.29%
30d:
-6.52%
90d:
-11.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LAZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LAZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.55
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $45.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.67 to $49.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.35, while resistance sits at $48.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.38 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.35, while resistance sits at $48.22.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.38 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.67 -
$49.01
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.67 -
$49.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.35
Resistance Level
$48.22
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.29
Wall Street Target
$52.38
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.01
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$42.82
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$41.66
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$45.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 54.3%)
$327.56
(+624%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 54.3%)
$152.65
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 54.3%)
$129.75
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$88.22
(+95%)
Analyst growth 74.5%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$80.20
(+77%)
Market implied 74.5%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$31.25
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$49.25
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
3944 shares
2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
7885 shares
2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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