LKQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$32.85
0.23 (0.71%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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1 traders called LKQ this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LKQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LKQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.40
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $32.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.78 to $33.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.19 (+26.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.19 (+26.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$30.78 -
$33.65
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($41.19)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with 1.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.78 -
$33.65
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.22
Resistance Level
$37.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.03
Wall Street Target
$41.19
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$33.47
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$33.91
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.78
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.1%)
$84.22
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 5.1%)
$37.89
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 5.1%)
$32.21
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$43.14
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$39.22
(+19%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$22.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-26
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