LZB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LZB - La-Z-Boy Incorporated
$39.91
0.14 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
-2.18%
30d:
+9.55%
90d:
+25.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LZB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LZB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.26
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LZB is currently trading at $39.91, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.69 to $40.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.5) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LZB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LZB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+15.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$36.69 -
$40.21
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.69 -
$40.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.71
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.88
Resistance Level
$38.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.48
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.1%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$43.17
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$44.89
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.96
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$95.13
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$58.89
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.8%)
$50.06
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$52.43
(+31%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$47.66
(+19%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$27.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LZB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2026-03-12
Michael Adam Leggett
SELL
2200 shares
2026-02-20
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