MAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAR - Marriott International Class A Common Stock
$372.95
4.63 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
-1.57%
30d:
-0.22%
90d:
+11.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MAR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$488.62
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$303.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAR is currently trading at $372.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $374.84 to $394.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.5) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $370.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $370.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$374.84 -
$394.43
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($380.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$374.84 -
$394.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$370.58
Resistance Level
$398.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.50
Wall Street Target
$380.83
(+2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Profit Margin
36.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
28.5 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$377.80
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$382.71
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$387.68
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$372.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$535.37
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$409.11
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$347.74
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.54
Bull Case
$555.71
(+49%)
Analyst growth 37.2%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$505.19
(+36%)
Market implied 37.2%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$250.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajeev Menon
SELL
3492 shares
2026-02-19
Benjamin T Breland
SELL
2000 shares
2026-02-18
Rajeev Menon
SELL
6333 shares
2026-02-18
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