MKSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKSI - MKS Inc. Common Stock

INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL
$303.17
-10.64 (-3.39%) ▼
5d: -3.21%
30d: +12.33%
90d: +16.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your MKSI Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

MKSI is up 4.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $240 2026-06-18 with 537 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MKSI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$609.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$378.51
19.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKSI is currently trading at $303.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $259.35 to $297.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $277.55, while resistance sits at $326.83. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: MKSI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $357.42 (+17.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $259.35 - $297.31
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($357.42)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $259.35 - $297.31
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $277.55
Resistance Level $326.84
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.63
Wall Street Target $357.42 (+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 53.2%
Profit Margin 8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.6 vs 21.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $299.84 (-1%)
2-Year Target $296.54 (-2%)
3-Year Target $293.28 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) $302.82 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 26.2%) $651.85 (+115%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 26.2%) $609.28 (+101%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 26.2%) $517.89 (+71%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $29.26
Bull Case $366.08 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case $303.17 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case $231.93 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 21.3
Stabilization Target: $313.04 (+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.3%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline F Moloney SELL 340 shares 2026-03-12
Eric Robert Taranto SELL 4568 shares 2026-03-06
Elizabeth Mora SELL 300 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced MKSI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKSI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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