MKSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKSI - MKS Inc. Common Stock
$365.56
-45.49 (-11.07%)
▼
5d:
-10.91%
30d:
+10.32%
90d:
+54.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MKSI is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MKSI is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$641.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$398.25
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKSI is currently trading at $365.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $320.82 to $399.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.2) compared to its historical average (21.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $355.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $355.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$320.82 -
$399.39
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MKSI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($400.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$320.82 -
$399.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$355.08
Resistance Level
$447.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.20
Wall Street Target
$400.54
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 21.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$378.35
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$391.60
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$405.30
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$365.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 29.2%)
$787.61
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.2%)
$708.97
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 29.2%)
$602.63
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $35.28
Bull Case
$441.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$365.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$279.65
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline F Moloney
SELL
340 shares
2026-03-12
Eric Robert Taranto
SELL
4568 shares
2026-03-06
Elizabeth Mora
SELL
300 shares
2026-03-02
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKSI price and gamma walls.
