MT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MT - ArcelorMittal
$63.40
4.14 (6.99%)
▲
5d:
+2.56%
30d:
-11.44%
90d:
+17.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.22
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MT is currently trading at $63.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.12 to $70.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$62.12 -
$70.05
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.77)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.12 -
$70.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.07
Resistance Level
$72.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$66.77
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.9%
Profit Margin
4.7%
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.40
(0%)
2-Year Target
$63.40
(0%)
3-Year Target
$63.40
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.04
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.4%)
$431.28
(+580%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 41.4%)
$179.24
(+183%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 41.4%)
$152.35
(+140%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.82
Bull Case
$119.52
(+89%)
Analyst growth 83.4%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$108.66
(+71%)
Market implied 83.4%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$40.30
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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