PAAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PAAS - Pan American Silver Corp.
$55.19
-1.21 (-2.15%)
▼
5d:
-11.4%
30d:
-6.55%
90d:
-1.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
PAAS is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-07-17 with 4,805 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.3/10
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1 traders called PAAS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PAAS is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PAAS is down 11.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.00
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.34
32.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PAAS is currently trading at $55.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.14 to $60.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 131.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.46, while resistance sits at $64.94.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.88 (+32.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PAAS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.46, while resistance sits at $64.94.
Market Sentiment: PAAS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.88 (+32.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$53.14 -
$60.09
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PAAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.0% below Wall St target ($72.88)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.14 -
$60.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.46
Resistance Level
$64.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$72.88
(+32.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
49.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.6%
Profit Margin
31.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.33
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$45.90
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$41.86
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$55.42
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 21.1%)
$214.17
(+288%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 21.1%)
$98.09
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 21.1%)
$83.38
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$106.71
(+93%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$97.01
(+76%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$38.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$73.06
(+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PAAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced PAAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PAAS price and gamma walls.
