PFGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFGC - Performance Food Group Company
$113.09
0.55 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
+5.43%
30d:
+17.54%
90d:
+34.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PFGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PFGC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$171.42
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $113.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.65 to $107.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $100.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PFGC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$96.65 -
$107.74
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($116.54)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.4% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.65 -
$107.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.69
Resistance Level
$100.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.83
Wall Street Target
$116.54
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 15.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.59
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$132.89
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$144.05
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$239.70
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 24.5%)
$218.26
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 24.5%)
$171.68
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.98 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.72
Bull Case
$136.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$113.09
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$86.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chasity D Grosh
SELL
1843 shares
2026-02-10
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