REYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

REYN - Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. Common Stock

PLASTICS, FOIL & COATED PAPER BAGS
$21.15
-0.51 (-2.33%) ▼
5d: -3.34%
30d: -3.56%
90d: -10.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: REYN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.42
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.65
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: REYN is currently trading at $21.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.94 to $21.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 89.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, REYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: REYN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.14 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $20.94 - $21.95
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 88.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.14)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.94 - $21.95
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.56
Resistance Level $22.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.51
Wall Street Target $25.14 (+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 89.9%
Profit Margin 8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.5 vs 13.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.73 (-2%)
2-Year Target $20.31 (-4%)
3-Year Target $19.91 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $21.16 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.6%) $43.90 (+108%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 5.6%) $24.89 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 5.6%) $21.16 (0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case $25.81 (+22%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case $23.46 (+11%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case $14.73 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.5 to 13.3
Stabilization Target: $22.48 (+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.3%
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rolf Stangl BUY 4705 shares 2026-03-18

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