REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$28.35
-1.73 (-5.75%)
▼
5d:
-28.68%
30d:
-27.73%
90d:
-20.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: REZI is down 28.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: REZI is down 28.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.20
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.79
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $28.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.88 to $41.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.00 (+72.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.00 (+72.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.88 -
$41.63
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 72.8% below Wall St target ($49.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -28.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.88 -
$41.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.90
Resistance Level
$41.76
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.06
Wall Street Target
$49.00
(+72.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.69
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$23.27
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$21.08
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$28.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$87.15
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$35.77
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 8.1%)
$30.40
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$38.19
(+34.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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