SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$77.84
1.72 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
-2.86%
30d:
+18.14%
90d:
+28.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.17
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $77.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.35 to $77.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.40, while resistance sits at $83.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.40, while resistance sits at $83.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$67.35 -
$77.85
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.35 -
$77.85
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.40
Resistance Level
$83.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.51
Wall Street Target
$81.91
(+5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.73
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$85.82
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$90.11
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.05
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$213.58
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$101.81
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$86.54
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.17
Bull Case
$167.46
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$152.24
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$51.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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