Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.13
Based on -1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $177.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.44 to $191.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.9) is in line with its historical norms (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 66.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $165.89, while resistance sits at $194.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $159.65. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$174.44 -
$191.33
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
BEARISH: Trading 15.3% above Wall St target ($159.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.44 -
$191.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$165.89
Resistance Level$194.93
Current TrendSideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)27.93
Wall Street Target
$159.65
(-15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)36.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)66.7%
Profit Margin34.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.9 vs 29.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.16
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$179.93
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$175.79
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→30)
$188.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Southern Copper Corp is an integrated producer of copper and other minerals and operates the mining, smelting, and refining facilities in Peru and Mexico. Its production includes copper, molybdenum, zinc, and silver. The company operates through the following segments: Peruvian operations, Mexican open-pit operations, and Mexican underground mining operations. It generates the majority of its revenue from the sale of copper and the rest from the sale of non-copper products, such as molybdenum, silver, zinc, lead, and gold. The company's geographical segments are The Americas, Europe, and Asia.