SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$78.28
0.83 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-0.25%
30d:
-2.85%
90d:
-0.57%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SCI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.29
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $78.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.21 to $85.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $76.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+23.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $76.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+23.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.21 -
$85.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($96.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.21 -
$85.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.43
Resistance Level
$82.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.19
Wall Street Target
$96.33
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.87
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$75.49
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$74.13
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$78.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.3%)
$134.80
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.3%)
$105.13
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 10.3%)
$89.36
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$102.37
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.2%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$93.06
(+19%)
Market implied 20.2%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$52.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$82.43
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony Coelho
SELL
7700 shares
2026-03-10
Tammy R Moore
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-13
Elisabeth G Nash
SELL
42400 shares
2025-12-04
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