SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$114.71
-2.79 (-2.37%)
▼
5d:
-5.63%
30d:
-20.53%
90d:
-25.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SITE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.01
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.13
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $114.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.76 to $141.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.3) compared to its historical average (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+40.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SITE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.73 (+40.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$120.76 -
$141.60
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($160.73)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.76 -
$141.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.57
Resistance Level
$127.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.26
Wall Street Target
$160.73
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 27.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.42
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$96.88
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$89.03
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→27)
$114.76
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 21.7%)
$214.89
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 21.7%)
$206.70
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 21.7%)
$175.69
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.38
Bull Case
$204.34
(+78%)
Analyst growth 59.6%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$185.77
(+62%)
Market implied 59.6%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$79.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 27.4
Stabilization Target:
$147.85
(+28.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Elema
SELL
1765 shares
2026-02-13
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