TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$68.16
-0.54 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
-8.61%
30d:
+11.15%
90d:
+13.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When TEX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.94
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $68.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.32 to $69.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.46 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.46 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$59.32 -
$69.27
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 41.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.32 -
$69.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.55
Resistance Level
$65.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.74
Wall Street Target
$76.46
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$73.44
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$76.23
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.2%)
$214.19
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 19.2%)
$115.43
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 19.2%)
$98.12
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$151.14
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case
$137.40
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.5
Bear Case
$46.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 11:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:54 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$950 | 54 HOLD |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$13 | 68 BUY |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$644 | 61 BUY |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$162 | 58 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$126 | 63 BUY |
