TRMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMB - Trimble Inc. Common Stock
$53.04
0.46 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+5.57%
30d:
-8.14%
90d:
-18.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRMB appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 56% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRMB appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.3% annual earnings decline despite 56% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.88
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.99
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMB is currently trading at $53.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.70 to $55.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.33 (+60.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.33 (+60.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$49.70 -
$55.30
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.9% below Wall St target ($85.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.70 -
$55.30
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.92
Resistance Level
$53.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.01
Wall Street Target
$85.33
(+60.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.11
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$43.63
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$39.58
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$52.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$130.27
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$77.82
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$66.15
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$115.68
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$105.16
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$35.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$70.93
(+33.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark David Schwartz
SELL
16725 shares
2026-04-16
Robert G Painter
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-14
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRMB price and gamma walls.
