TT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TT - Trane Technologies plc
$403.93
-6.30 (-1.54%)
▼
5d:
-4.94%
30d:
-12.63%
90d:
+2.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$639.67
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$397.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TT is currently trading at $403.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $416.64 to $455.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $403.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $479.73 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $403.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $479.73 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$416.64 -
$455.22
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($479.73)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$416.64 -
$455.22
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$403.51
Resistance Level
$437.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.38
Wall Street Target
$479.73
(+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$399.15
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$388.38
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$377.89
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→27)
$410.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$600.97
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$552.08
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$469.27
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.13
Bull Case
$578.40
(+36%)
Analyst growth 28.1%, PE expands to 34.4
Base Case
$525.81
(+24%)
Market implied 28.1%, PE stable at 31.3
Bear Case
$279.04
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$445.84
(+8.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David S Regnery
SELL
36045 shares
2026-03-06
Donald E Simmons
SELL
3762 shares
2026-03-06
Elizabeth A Elwell
SELL
635 shares
2026-03-06
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