CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CARR - Carrier Global Corporation

AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP
$70.07
-2.00 (-2.78%) ▼
5d: -7.8%
30d: +5.5%
90d: +23.15%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your CARR Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 30d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 9.5/10

Get Alerted When CARR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.39
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.47
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $70.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.21 to $72.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $66.21 - $72.81
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

Protect Your Profits

Holding CARR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.47)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.7% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $66.21 - $72.81
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $69.36
Resistance Level $76.76
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.90
Wall Street Target $76.47 (+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -40.7%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.7% premium
PE vs Historical 21.9 vs 19.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $72.66 (+4%)
2-Year Target $75.35 (+8%)
3-Year Target $78.14 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→20) PE COMPRESSION $70.30 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.3%) $104.75 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.3%) $104.19 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.3%) $88.56 (+26%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case $158.55 (+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.9
Base Case $144.14 (+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.1
Bear Case $49.01 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen BUY 2026-04-07
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-01-29
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-23

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CARR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc
STRONG BUY
21 analysts
$97 60 BUY
TT
Trane Technologies plc
BUY
25 analysts
$521 61 BUY
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna…
BUY
22 analysts
$155 56 HOLD
OC
Owens Corning Inc
BUY
18 analysts
$146 61 BUY
MAS
Masco Corporation
HOLD
21 analysts
$81 54 HOLD

Advanced CARR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CARR

CARR Technical Chart CARR Price Prediction CARR Earnings Date CARR Investment Advisor CARR Fair Price Analyzer CARR Options Advisor CARR Options Chain CARR Options Analysis CARR Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals