CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$66.73
1.16 (1.77%)
▲
5d:
-0.73%
30d:
+13.97%
90d:
+2.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CARR is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $80 2026-06-18 with 4,373 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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1 traders called CARR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.16
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $66.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.55 to $66.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.51 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.51 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$59.55 -
$66.34
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CARR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.51)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.55 -
$66.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.08
Resistance Level
$68.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.52
Wall Street Target
$75.51
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.7%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.08
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$68.62
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$70.20
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$106.19
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$98.85
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: 14.7%)
$84.02
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case
$144.23
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.1
Base Case
$131.12
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.7
Bear Case
$44.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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Advanced CARR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.
