WMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WMT - Walmart Inc.
$132.46
0.99 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
+1.74%
30d:
+6.17%
90d:
-0.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
5d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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3 traders called WMT this week
33% bullish • 2 bearish
33% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WMT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.75
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WMT is currently trading at $132.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.04 to $131.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.7) is in line with its historical norms (41.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WMT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $133.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WMT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.04 -
$131.13
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($137.37)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 5.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.04 -
$131.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.38
Resistance Level
$133.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.66
Wall Street Target
$137.37
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.0%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
44.7 vs 41.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.64
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$138.89
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$142.23
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$132.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$188.04
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$92.79
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 12.4%)
$78.87
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.73
Bull Case
$157.10
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 53.0
Base Case
$142.82
(+8%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 48.2
Bear Case
$89.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
C Douglas Mcmillon
SELL
19416 shares
2026-04-23
Christopher James Nichol…
SELL
2900 shares
2026-04-16
John R Furner
SELL
13125 shares
2026-04-16
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