WNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WNC - Wabash National Corp.

TRUCK TRAILERS
$7.77
0.34 (4.58%) ▲
5d: +12.77%
30d: -12.6%
90d: -28.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WNC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -29.0% annual earnings decline despite 1274% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.04
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.03
56.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WNC is currently trading at $7.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.14 to $8.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1274.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WNC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: WNC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+14.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $7.14 - $8.99
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 85.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.14 - $8.99
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.63
Resistance Level $7.87
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.73
Wall Street Target $8.50 (+14.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1274.4%
Profit Margin -4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -29.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.7 vs 13.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -29.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.69 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.02 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.42 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→13) $15.11 (+103%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 13.2
Stabilization Target: $20.72 (+178.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +178.9%
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Last updated: May 22, 2026 4:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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