ABM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$44.27
-0.27 (-0.61%)
▼
5d:
-1.25%
30d:
+12.5%
90d:
+14.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.72
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $44.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.59 to $45.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.43 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.43 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$40.59 -
$45.24
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.59 -
$45.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.01
Resistance Level
$45.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.17
Wall Street Target
$52.43
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.71
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$45.16
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$45.61
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$124.50
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$58.11
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$49.39
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$82.07
(+85%)
Analyst growth 67.5%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$74.60
(+69%)
Market implied 67.5%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$30.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rene Jacobsen
SELL
31034 shares
2026-01-13
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