ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$20.25
-1.11 (-5.20%) ▼
5d: +3.42%
30d: -17.75%
90d: +4.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ADNT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.92
30.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $20.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.05 to $23.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.07, while resistance sits at $21.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+55.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $20.05 - $23.80
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 20th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 55.1% below Wall St target ($31.42)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.05 - $23.80
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.35 (6.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.07
Resistance Level $21.73
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.27
Wall Street Target $31.42 (+55.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -76.6%
Profit Margin -2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 7.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.20 (-5%)
2-Year Target $18.20 (-10%)
3-Year Target $17.25 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $20.37 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 51.5%) $244.31 (+1107%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 51.5%) $68.34 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 5.3, Growth: 51.5%) $58.09 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 7.4
Stabilization Target: $23.91 (+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +18.1%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michel Pierre Rose Berth… SELL 2500 shares 2025-11-26

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