ADV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$34.06
-0.89 (-2.55%)
▼
5d:
-23.34%
30d:
+19.8%
90d:
+5478.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADV is down 23.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ADV is down 23.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $34.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.39 to $38.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 3.6) compared to its historical average (2.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.39, while resistance sits at $46.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.39, while resistance sits at $46.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.39 -
$38.06
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($42.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.4% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -23.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.39 -
$38.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.39
Resistance Level
$46.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.65
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.4% premium
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 2.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.60
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$41.51
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$45.83
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 98.3%)
$694.76
(+1940%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.6, Growth: 98.3%)
$114.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.7, Growth: 98.3%)
$85.11
(+150%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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