ADV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$38.86
-5.35 (-12.10%)
▼
5d:
-7.7%
30d:
+8.12%
90d:
+102.5%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADV trades at premium valuation expecting 10.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ADV trades at premium valuation expecting 10.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $38.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.50 to $42.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (3.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.19, while resistance sits at $47.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.19, while resistance sits at $47.45. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.50 -
$42.36
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-12.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.0% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.50 -
$42.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.19
Resistance Level
$47.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.16
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.0% premium
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 3.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.75
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$47.02
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$51.72
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.54
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 98.3%)
$686.56
(+1667%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 98.3%)
$131.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.1, Growth: 98.3%)
$97.72
(+152%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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