AENT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AENT - Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
$6.70
-0.90 (-11.84%)
▼
5d:
-5.5%
30d:
-3.32%
90d:
+21.82%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AENT is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AENT is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.73
Based on -8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AENT is currently trading at $6.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.91 to $7.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.36, while resistance sits at $7.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+34.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.36, while resistance sits at $7.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+34.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.52
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.36
Resistance Level
$7.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.26
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.7%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.03
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$7.37
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$7.73
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -20.3%)
$7.56
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: -20.3%)
$4.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: -20.3%)
$4.15
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$9.14
(+36%)
Analyst growth 9.3%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$8.31
(+24%)
Market implied 9.3%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$5.17
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 1:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AENT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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