AERO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.65
-0.89 (-4.33%)
▼
5d:
-6.43%
30d:
-10.48%
90d:
+0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AERO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AERO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.77
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.10
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AERO is currently trading at $19.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.05 to $21.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.70 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AERO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.70 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$20.05 -
$21.79
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.0% below Wall St target ($26.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.05 -
$21.79
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.69
Resistance Level
$21.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.04
Wall Street Target
$26.70
(+30.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.0%
Profit Margin
4.9%
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.54
(0%)
2-Year Target
$20.54
(0%)
3-Year Target
$20.54
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$20.65
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$59.42
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 12.7%)
$29.42
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.7%)
$25.01
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 0.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $43.60
Bull Case
$10.51
(-49%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 0.5
Base Case
$9.55
(-54%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 0.4
Bear Case
$12.99
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 0.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 11:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:51 PM
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