DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.
$71.55
0.50 (0.70%)
▲
5d:
-2.13%
30d:
-0.61%
90d:
+2.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 09, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.7/10
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1 traders called DAL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.33
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $71.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.41 to $71.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.60, while resistance sits at $74.97.
Market Sentiment: DAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.09 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.60, while resistance sits at $74.97.
Market Sentiment: DAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.09 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$67.41 -
$71.73
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.41 -
$71.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.60
Resistance Level
$74.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.93
Wall Street Target
$80.09
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.6%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$73.42
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$74.38
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.63
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 46.7%)
$557.59
(+679%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 46.7%)
$225.90
(+216%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 46.7%)
$192.01
(+168%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.85
Bull Case
$91.42
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$83.11
(+16%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$48.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-14
John E Laughter
SELL
69304 shares
2026-04-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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