AGYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGYS - Agilysys, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$79.84
0.34 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+18.56%
30d:
+26.55%
90d:
+11.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026
0d
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2 traders called AGYS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AGYS is 12.5% above its trading range ($70.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AGYS is 12.5% above its trading range ($70.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGYS is currently trading at $79.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.62 to $70.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.7) compared to its historical average (43.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 206.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.83, while resistance sits at $94.77.
Market Sentiment: AGYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.80 (+63.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.83, while resistance sits at $94.77.
Market Sentiment: AGYS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.80 (+63.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$64.62 -
$70.97
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.8% below Wall St target ($130.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.62 -
$70.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.83
Resistance Level
$94.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.72
Wall Street Target
$130.80
(+63.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
206.9%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.7 vs 43.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.53
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$71.45
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$67.59
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→43)
$79.89
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.7, Growth: 31.4%)
$181.27
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 31.4%)
$108.56
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 31.4%)
$92.27
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 34.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.28
Bull Case
$96.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$79.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$61.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.7 to 43.4
Stabilization Target:
$94.36
(+18.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 23, 2026 4:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Melvin L Keating
BUY
240 shares
2026-03-17
Melvin L Keating
BUY
160 shares
2026-03-16
Melvin L Keating
BUY
300 shares
2026-02-03
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGYS price and gamma walls.
