ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$135.56
-0.52 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
-3.89%
30d:
-21.08%
90d:
-24.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$272.63
Based on -1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.28
19.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $135.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.49 to $171.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (52.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 39.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $127.51, while resistance sits at $168.82.
Market Sentiment: ALB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.25 (+54.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $127.51, while resistance sits at $168.82.
Market Sentiment: ALB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.25 (+54.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$142.49 -
$171.89
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 54.4% below Wall St target ($209.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$142.49 -
$171.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.51
Resistance Level
$168.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.54
Wall Street Target
$209.25
(+54.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-39.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 52.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-39.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$109.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$98.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→53)
$452.96
(+234%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -6.8%)
$207.25
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: -6.8%)
$109.82
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -6.8%)
$93.35
(-31%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 52.9
Stabilization Target:
$621.34
(+358.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+358.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters
SELL
11783 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.
