ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$179.00
-1.38 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-14.76%
30d:
-9.48%
90d:
+5.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
ALB is down 10.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $260 2026-06-18 with 8,047 OI. Call ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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4 traders called ALB this week
83% bullish • 1 bearish
83% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALB is down 14.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALB is down 14.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$281.75
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$174.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $179.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $180.98 to $202.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (64.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $211.38 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $211.38 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$180.98 -
$202.27
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($211.38)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$180.98 -
$202.27
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.57
Resistance Level
$221.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.47
Wall Street Target
$211.38
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-36.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 64.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-36.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$162.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$146.11
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$131.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→64)
$512.65
(+184%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -2.8%)
$221.76
(+23%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -2.8%)
$165.47
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: -2.8%)
$140.65
(-22%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 64.2
Stabilization Target:
$703.23
(+289.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+289.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters
SELL
11783 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.
