ALG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALG - Alamo Group, Inc.
$147.27
-4.71 (-3.10%)
▼
5d:
-10.07%
30d:
-12.32%
90d:
-30.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ALG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALG is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALG is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.54
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.36
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALG is currently trading at $147.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $159.04 to $175.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $146.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.80 (+42.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $146.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.80 (+42.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$159.04 -
$175.88
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.5% below Wall St target ($209.80)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$159.04 -
$175.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.89
Resistance Level
$180.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.24
Wall Street Target
$209.80
(+42.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.26
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$127.92
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$119.22
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$147.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$377.84
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$209.55
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$178.11
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.36
Bull Case
$240.61
(+63%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$218.73
(+49%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$103.35
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$181.68
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Rizzuti
SELL
600 shares
2026-03-24
Nina C Grooms
SELL
499 shares
2026-03-11
Robert Paul Hureau
BUY
460 shares
2026-03-09
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$913 | 58 HOLD |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$665 | 51 HOLD |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$13 | 53 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$126 | 57 HOLD |
|
BLBD
Blue Bird Corp |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$82 | 61 BUY |
