ALG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALG - Alamo Group, Inc.
$170.25
3.95 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
+1.32%
30d:
+11.45%
90d:
+0.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When ALG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.61
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALG is currently trading at $170.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.26 to $163.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $172.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.80 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $172.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $209.80 (+23.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$150.26 -
$163.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($209.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$150.26 -
$163.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.91
Resistance Level
$172.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.15
Wall Street Target
$209.80
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.38
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$166.53
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$164.69
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$169.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$372.87
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 12.5%)
$242.24
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$205.91
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.36
Bull Case
$260.41
(+53%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$236.74
(+39%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$111.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$175.67
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Edward Rizzuti
SELL
600 shares
2026-03-24
Nina C Grooms
SELL
499 shares
2026-03-11
Robert Paul Hureau
BUY
460 shares
2026-03-09
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$950 | 54 HOLD |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$13 | 68 BUY |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$644 | 61 BUY |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$162 | 58 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$126 | 63 BUY |
