ALKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALKT - Alkami Technology, Inc. Common Stock
$17.53
-2.46 (-12.29%)
▼
5d:
-16.94%
30d:
-22.73%
90d:
-13.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALKT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.67
34.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALKT is currently trading at $17.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.16 to $23.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALKT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.89 (+82.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALKT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALKT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.89 (+82.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$20.16 -
$23.07
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-12.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 82.0% below Wall St target ($31.89)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.9%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.16 -
$23.07
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.23
Resistance Level
$23.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.15
Wall Street Target
$31.89
(+82.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Profit Margin
-10.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 24.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.25
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$15.06
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$13.96
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→24)
$17.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 75.6%)
$68.89
(+293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 75.6%)
$59.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 75.6%)
$50.27
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 24.1
Stabilization Target:
$22.06
(+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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